[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052050 
OKZ000-TXZ000-052215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1184
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT SUN JUN 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRWN TX NEWD ACROSS SWRN AND CENTRAL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052050Z - 052215Z

MONITORING PORTIONS OF NWRN TX NEWD INTO SWRN/CENTRAL OK FOR
POSSIBLE SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

WEAK WARM FRONT...WHICH IS WEAKENING AND LIFTING SLOWLY NWD...
STRETCHED FROM NEAR LBB NEWD TO BETWEEN OKC AND END.  ALTHOUGH
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT IS WEAK...DIFFERENTIAL HEATING MAY
PROVIDE ENOUGH CONVERGENCE FOR STORMS TO INITIATE SHORTLY. BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE WAS RICHER SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT AND THIS WAS
RESULTING IN A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES RANGING FROM 3500
TO 4500 J/KG.  GIVEN THE STRONG INSTABILITY AND 30 KT OF MID LEVEL
FLOW...ONCE STORMS DEVELOP...SUPERCELLS WOULD BE LIKELY WITH LARGE
HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

..IMY.. 06/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

32950012 32680162 32750184 33410219 34869949 35259850
35389715 34999633 34589641 33659762