[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052021 
WIZ000-MIZ000-MNZ000-IAZ000-052145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT SUN JUN 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MN/NE IA INTO WI/U.P. OF MICH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 405...

VALID 052021Z - 052145Z

TORNADO WATCH UPGRADE/REPLACEMENT OF WW 405 MAY BE REQUIRED SOON EWD
INTO WI AND U.P OF MICH.

AHEAD OF WRN MN UPPER TROUGH AND REMNANT MCV MOVING INTO SW WI...
AIRMASS CONTINUES TO QUICKLY DESTABILIZE FROM ERN MN INTO MUCH OF WI
AND THE U.P. OF MICH. MODIFIED OBSERVED 18Z GRB SOUNDING...IN
ACCORDANCE WITH 18Z RUC FCST SOUNDINGS...PORTRAY AROUND 1000 J/KG
MLCAPE -- CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED INVOF MISS RIVER -- AMIDST NEGLIGIBLE
CINH. ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO SPREAD ENE AND/OR DEVELOP EWD INTO
CNTRL/ERN WI AND WRN U.P OF MICH...WITH CU FIELD CURRENTLY DEEPENING
INTO ERN WI/U.P. MICH AHEAD OF ONGOING WRN WI TSTMS.

LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS GRADUALLY BACKED ACROSS NRN/CNTRL WI...SUCH THAT
TORNADO THREAT MAY INCREASE OVER NEXT HOUR OR TWO...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NRN/CNTRL WI INTO U.P OF MICH. TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO BE
FURTHER AUGMENTED BY AMBIENT VERTICAL VORTICITY/LOW LEVEL CAPE
CONCENTRATION INVOF NE MN/NW WI/FAR WRN U.P. OF MICH.
ADDITIONALLY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL EXISTS...IN ADDITION TO AN
INCREASING THREAT WITH TIME FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS VIA ORGANIZATION
LINEAR CLUSTERS/LEWPS.

..GUYER.. 06/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

47999246 47818943 47248826 45548740 43298782 42618926
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