[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021954
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021954 
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-022200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN MN/ERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021954Z - 022200Z

...POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WITH
DEVELOPING STORMS...

SFC FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW NEAR MANITOBA/SASK BORDER THROUGH EXTREME
ERN ND AND THEN SE OF A HURON/WINNER SD LINE. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING
IN A NARROW CONFLUENCE ZONE...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE INCREASED
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. INSTABILITY IS
RATHER WEAK...GIVEN EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WHICH HAS BEEN OVER THE
REGION. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IMPROVES ACROSS ERN ND/NW MN...SO THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD LEWP SIGNATURES AS STORMS TRACK NEWD. COLD
FRONT...AND ASSOCIATED FORCING...WILL BE SLOW MOVING THIS AFTN AND
THUS EWD PROGRESSION OF STORMS SHOULD BE LIMITED.

..TAYLOR.. 06/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...

47509399 42799668 43019861 45659695 47169669 48259626
48339534 48369439 

WWWW