[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012335 
SCZ000-GAZ000-020030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE GA/SRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 372...

VALID 012335Z - 020030Z

...POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORMS WILL DIMINISH AND WW 372 WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AT 00Z...

ALTHOUGH SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS...INSTABILITY
WILL BE DECREASING WITH ONSET OF NIGHTTIME COOLING. VAD WIND DATA
FROM COLUMBIA SC LOOKS MOST SUPPORTIVE OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION...BUT
THIS IS ALSO LOCATED IN AN AREA WHICH DID NOT DESTABILIZE AS
STRONGLY TODAY...REMAINING NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. 

RECENT LIGHTNING TRENDS SHOW ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST
HOUR OR TWO OVER EVANS/BULLOCH CO IN SE GA...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGEST THAT THE UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY IS
TRYING TO CONSOLIDATE WITH SYSTEM OVER MS/AL...PROVIDING SOME FOCUS
FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR RENEWED
STRENGTHENING FROM AUGUSTA/SAVANNAH...NEWD TO SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHERWISE...TRENDS FOR SEVERE APPEAR TO BE
DECREASING.

..TAYLOR.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

31277971 31038130 32798279 33297975 

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