[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140144 
NDZ000-MTZ000-140315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1746
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0844 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NERN MT / NWRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 636...

VALID 140144Z - 140315Z

STRONG / SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NERN
MT...AND SHOULD SLOWLY SPREAD EWD OUT OF WW INTO PARTS OF NWRN ND. 
NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED E OF CURRENT WW.

LATEST SURFACE / OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOW RELATIVELY MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER AND MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS NERN MT / NWRN ND ATTM...E OF
CURRENT WW.  MEANWHILE...STORMS CONTINUE FURTHER W INTO CENTRAL
MT...INVOF SURFACE BOUNDARY LYING NE-SW ACROSS THE ERN 2/3 OF THE
STATE.

EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE / SPREAD EWD WITH TIME AHEAD OF STRONG
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  WITH MID-LEVEL FLOW INCREASING FROM W TO E AND
THUS SLOWLY ENHANCING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WITH TIME...EXPECT SEVERE
POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE...LIKELY REQUIRING NEW WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 07/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...TFX...

48560838 49130107 46430359 45360933 45391210 

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