[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 070223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070223 
OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-070300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1681
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM AND EXTREME WRN TX PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 612...615...

VALID 070223Z - 070300Z

STRONGER TSTMS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS NERN NM EWD INTO THE TX PNHDL
THIS EVENING AND APPEAR TO BE GAINING A STRONGER COLD POOL WITH
TIME.  FARTHER N ACROSS ERN CO...TSTMS HAVE DIMINISHED.

LATEST RUC/NAM HAVE BEEN ALLUDING TO AN INCREASE IN THE LLJ ACROSS
WRN TX THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND LATEST VWP/PROFILERS ARE BEARING
THIS OUT WITH 25-35 KT SELY FLOW AT LBB/AMA.  THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
A SSEWD PROPAGATION TO THE MATURING MCS...INTO THE INSTABILITY AXIS
AND ALONG THE OLD FRONT SITUATED NW-SE ACROSS THE TX PNHDL.  THIS
WILL BRING ENHANCED THREATS FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL INTO
THE AMA-LBB-CVS CORRIDOR BETWEEN 0245-0400Z.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 612 EXPIRES AT 03Z.  BUT...A FEW COUNTIES
IN THE FAR WRN TX PNHDL COUNTIES MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY FOR A
COUPLE OF HOURS BEYOND 03Z PENDING STORM EVOLUTION. 
OTHERWISE...CONTINUE WS 615.

..RACY.. 07/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

39290271 36910253 36580163 36349995 33910036 33830278
34130436 34430464 36620426 37430447 38070473 38890415
39250360 

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