[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230323 
OKZ000-TXZ000-230430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0210
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN AND SCNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 230323Z - 230430Z

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL SOON DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN INTO SCNTRL
OK...

MOISTURE ATOP THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS SPREADING NWD INTO SWRN OK AS
SHALLOW FRONT SURGES SWD INTO NWRN TX. RESULTANT WARM ADVECTION
APPEARS RESPONSIBLE FOR RECENT INCREASE IN CONVECTION ACROSS NWRN
TX...WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY INTO SWRN OK. 
ELEVATED INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT ROBUST UPDRAFTS
CAPABLE OF GENERATING HAIL.  HOWEVER...STRONGEST INSTABILITY WILL
LIKELY HOLD JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER WHERE SEVERE HAIL HAS
OCCURRED THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 02/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

34309986 35829910 35469774 33939696 

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