[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021234 
MOZ000-021630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 AM CST WED FEB 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO

CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 

VALID 021234Z - 021630Z

MESOSCALE BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EXPECTED TO SHIFT FROM SWRN
MO EARLY THIS MORNING TOWARD ECNTRL MO BY 16 UTC.

UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER CNTRL OK EARLY THIS MORNING
SHIFTS TOWARD SRN MO WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  MESOSCALE BANDS OF LOCALIZED MODERATE SNOW
SHOULD DEVELOP/CONTINUE IN THE THREAT AREA AS 700 MB CIRCULATION
MOVES OVER MO/AR BORDER...PLACING WEAK DEFORMATION ZONE AND LOW
MOIST POTENTIAL VORTICITY AROUND 700 MB OVER THE THREAT AREA PER 06
UTC NAM FORECAST.  LATEST RUC AND NAM SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DEEP
SATURATED LAYER THROUGH DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WITH MODERATE ASCENT
IN THE 800 MB TO 500 MB LAYER. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALREADY NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING SUGGEST LOCALIZED MODERATE SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER BANDS.

..BRIGHT.. 02/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...

36709423 37229374 37489333 37829217 37919111 37879057
37599049 37189114 36589314 

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