[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Fri Dec 9 00:56:53 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 090054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090054 
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-090700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2548
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 PM CST THU DEC 08 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MI / IN / OH / WRN PA / NRN WV / WRN MD / NWRN
VA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET 

VALID 090054Z - 090700Z

LARGE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY. 1-2 IN/HR SNOWFALL RATES HAVE BEEN REPORTED...WITH HRLY
LIQUID EQUIVALENTS BETWEEN 0.05-0.15 INCHES. GIVEN DEEPENING OF
SURFACE LOW AS IT MOVES NEWD...AND CONTINUED STRONG MOISTURE
ADVECTION OFF THE SURFACE...EXPECT HEAVY SNOW RATES TO BE MAINTAINED
AS LARGE SCALE LIFT SHIFTS NEWD INTO WRN PA BY LATE EVENING. IT IS
QUITE APPARENT FROM RADAR TRENDS AND MULTIPLE MODELS THAT HEAVIEST
SNOW RATES WILL EXIST OVER SERN OH INTO SWRN PA.

FARTHER S INTO ERN WV...NWRN VA...AND WRN MD...A MIXTURE OF SLEET
AND SNOW IS EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG WARMING ALOFT. 00Z GSO SOUNDING
SHOWS WARMING TEMPERATURES NOW ABOVE FREEZING BETWEEN 750-800
MB...AND THIS WILL ADVECT NEWD INTO ERN WV AND WRN MD WHERE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD START OFF AS SNOW BUT WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO
SLEET BY 06Z.

..JEWELL.. 12/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...

38068008 38048063 38368080 38518090 38968086 38948115
38968171 38978214 38968261 38798329 39088431 39688620
40378688 41488666 42228668 42448606 42348342 41968267
41438227 41377883 40977816 39767802 39147829 38247895 

WWWW





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