[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Dec 4 03:38:25 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 040336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040335 
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-040530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2521
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0935 PM CST SAT DEC 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TN...SERN AR...NRN/CENTRAL MS...SWRN/SRN
MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 040335Z - 040530Z

CONVECTION APPEARS TO DEVELOPING ALONG THE SEWD MOVING FRONT OVER
EXTREME NWRN MS...AND OVER PARTS OF SWRN AR.  WW WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED BY 04Z.

AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS WARM/MOIST WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 70F
AND DEW POINTS OF 60-65F.  STRONG WSWLY WINDS ALOFT /500 MB FLOW OF
50-70 KT/ AND VEERING PROFILES IN THE LOWEST 1.5-2 KM AGL ARE
CREATING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ROTATING STORMS GIVEN
PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS.  00Z ETA AND 02Z RUC BOTH INDICATE ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 
A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TO BE ISSUED BY 04Z.

..WEISS.. 12/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

33219334 34339117 35248958 35668906 35698807 35568749
35408686 34828708 34138765 33668810 32719031 31959268
31989328 32289373 32899398 

WWWW