[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262056 
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-262200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2087
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IND...WCNTRL KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262056Z - 262200Z

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LWR OH
RIVER VLY WITHIN AN HOUR.

BOWING SQUALL LINE WILL CROSS THE WABASH RIVER AND MOVE INTO THE LWR
OH RIVER VLY OVER THE NEXT HOUR. THIS LINE WAS MOVING EAST AT ABOUT
35KT WITH A NUMBER OF LOCALLY SEVERE GUSTS BEING REPORTED ACROSS
PARTS OF SRN IL AND SERN MO THIS AFTERNOON. LINE APPEARS TO BE
TAPPING STRONGEST INSTABILITY AT THIS TIME AND THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO SEVERE POTENTIAL FARTHER EAST. HOWEVER...VERY
MOIST AIR MASS EXTENDS EWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER VALLEY AND MODEST
LARGE SCALE SUPPORT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH AND DEEP COLD POOL
MAY COMPENSATE LACK OF GREATER INSTABILITY TO MAINTAIN A CHANCE FOR
SEVERE STORMS INTO THE EVENING. IF STORMS MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER
THE NEXT HOUR...A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER THE AREA.

..CARBIN.. 08/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...

39098750 39168667 39168577 38848553 38488548 37938545
37338560 37068588 36968621 37008650 37048677 37188710
37668701 38128700 38498702 38538766