[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250308 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-250415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2068
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1008 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN KS INTO SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 250308Z - 250415Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP E OF WW
743 BY 04Z. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE.

AS OF 0255Z...ICT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A MCS WITH EMBEDDED MESOSCALE
CIRCULATION OVER COFFEY...WOODSON...WILSON...GREENWOOD AND ELK
COUNTIES KS MOVING 250/30 KTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING 60-65 MPH WINDS FROM THE VICINITY OF ICT TO IT/S PRESENT
LOCATION.  MESOANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS MCS IS MOVING ALONG A
WEAK BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR CNU SEWD TO JUST N OF SGF AND INTO
FAR SERN MO.  THE AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THIS BOUNDARY REMAINS
QUITE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS OF 70-75 F WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
MLCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG.  DIABATIC COOLING WITHIN BOUNDARY-LAYER
IS LIKELY RESULTING IN THE STRENGTHENING OF A CAP ACROSS THIS INFLOW
AIR MASS.  HOWEVER...GIVEN FORCED ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
SYSTEM COLD POOL...EXPECT MCS AND SOME INHERENT THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP E OF WW 743 BY 04Z.

..MEAD.. 08/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...

38009507 38439501 38599438 38309342 37829333 37249357
36989399 36939445 36959481 37039505 

WWWW