[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142038 
MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-142245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1983
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN PA...SRN NY THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 720...

VALID 142038Z - 142245Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL REMAIN LIKELY NEXT FEW HOURS
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS DEVELOPING FROM CNTRL AND ERN PA THROUGH
SRN NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN VICINITY OF AND S OF A
STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO SRN NY AND
NW PA WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE. MULTICELL
AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CONTINUE TO BE OBSERVED. SUPERCELL THREAT
APPEARS HIGHEST FROM E CNTRL AND SERN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND WHERE
ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW N OF THE BOUNDARY AND STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW ARE
CONTRIBUTING TO SLIGHTLY BETTER LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE
GREATEST HAIL POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED WITH ANY STORMS THAT TAKE ON
SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS. OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WIND SHOULD REMAIN
THE PRIMARY THREAT. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY EVENING...AFTER WHICH STORMS WILL DIMINISH AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZES.

..DIAL.. 08/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...

41067058 40007761 41997807 43147100