[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150123
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150123 
MAZ000-RIZ000-NHZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-150230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1985
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0823 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY INTO
ERN PA AND CNTRL NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 720...

VALID 150123Z - 150230Z

A GRADUAL DECREASE IN STORM INTENSITY IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 1
TO 2 HOURS AND WW 720 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 02Z.

AS OF 0112Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS FROM WRN CT SWWD INTO NRN NJ AND PORTIONS OF
E-CNTRL/SERN PA. WEDGE OF WARM AND MOIST AIR PERSISTS THIS EVENING
OVER SERN PA AND NRN/CNTRL NJ WHICH SHOULD SUSTAIN AT LEAST SRN
PORTION OF ONGOING CONVECTIVE LINE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. FARTHER
TO THE NE...COMBINATION OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW AND MARINE INFLUENCE
OFF THE ATLANTIC HAVE EFFECTIVELY STABILIZED BOUNDARY-LAYER OVER
LONG ISLAND...NYC NEWD ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. WHILE THE POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WITH STRONGEST STORMS
MOVING INTO THIS COOLER AIR MASS...IT APPEARS THE BETTER THREAT FOR
MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER SERN PA INTO CNTRL NJ
THROUGH 02 OR 03Z.

..MEAD.. 08/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

39787761 42767324 42636994 40686998