[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 091957
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091956 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-092130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1951
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NEB INTO NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 091956Z - 092130Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. A WW
IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CUMULUS FIELD DEEPENING ALONG
COLD FRONT FROM TSTM COMPLEX OVER KNOX...ANTELOPE...HOLT AND WHEELER
COUNTIES IN NEB WSWWD INTO THOMAS COUNTY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL TCU
LINE FROM YUMA INTO PUEBLO COUNTIES IN ERN CO. AIR MASS S OF FRONTAL
ZONE HAS HEATED WELL INTO THE 90S THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONGEST
INSTABILITY EXISTING OVER CNTRL INTO ERN NEB WITHIN AXIS OF RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. GIVEN DEEP...WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY-LAYER
CONDITIONS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE...HIGH-BASED STORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. GIVEN THAT BELT OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW EXISTS
GENERALLY N OF THE NEB/SD BORDER...VERTICAL SHEAR TENDS TO DECREASE
WITH SWD EXTENT...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION.

..MEAD.. 08/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...

42389853 41709841 40500006 39580124 38490250 38530349
39180315 41180158 

WWWW