[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301602
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301602 
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-301700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE LA/SE MS/SR AL/WRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 215...

VALID 301602Z - 301700Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 17Z.

SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA/SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
LOUISIANA...AND IS ONLY SLOWLY PROGRESSING EASTWARD.  HOWEVER...
LARGE CONGLOMERATE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS ADVANCED INTO
SOUTHERN GEORGIA/WESTERN FLORIDA...AND OFF CENTRAL GULF COASTAL
AREAS...WHERE IT IS BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY IN RESPONSE TO
UPSTREAM SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH.  AS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PROGRESS
ACROSS TEXAS TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY...LOW-LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS CENTRAL GULF COASTAL AREAS.  HOWEVER...ACTIVITY OVER INLAND
AREAS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY ELEVATED ABOVE SURFACE COLD POOL/FRONT...
AND WIDESPREAD NATURE OF CONVECTION LIKELY WILL LIMIT HAIL THREAT.

..KERR.. 04/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

30389065 30718979 31258834 31428714 31258620 30208575
29578644 29028778 28368930 28339053 28569197 29559258
30219177 

WWWW