[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Tue Apr 26 22:38:17 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 262247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262247 
FLZ000-GAZ000-262345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0698
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NRN FL / SRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 206...

VALID 262247Z - 262345Z

STORMS CONTINUE TO REGENERATE WITHIN STRONG CONVERGENT ZONE OVER THE
ERN GULF...BUT ARE TENDING TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE EWD AND ONSHORE
DUE TO LESSENING INSTABILITY TO THE EAST.

LARGE SCALE FORCING IS LACKING AS UPPER TROUGH HAS BOTTOMED
OUT...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS WEAKENING AS WINDS VEERS. 
THUS...IT APPEARS THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS DECREASING. 

THE GREATEST THREAT MAY BE OVER NWRN PORTIONS OF WW 206..ADJACENT TO
WW 207 WHERE STRONGER STORMS EXIST. EVEN THESE MAY WEAKEN BY THE
TIME THEY GET INTO WW 206. NONETHELESS...GIVEN STRONG WIND FIELDS IN
PLACE...STRONGER CORES MAY HAVE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL...BUT THREAT
SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

..JEWELL.. 04/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

27608277 31048408 31028091 27597964 

WWWW





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