[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 200618
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200618 
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-200815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0605
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0118 AM CDT WED APR 20 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN NE...W CENTRAL IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 200618Z - 200815Z

AN ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY AS SEVERAL MCS FEATURES
CONTINUE TO SHOW BOW ECHO SIGNATURES.

WRN BOW IS SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS BOUNDARY LEFT
BY ERN FEATURE THAT IS MOVING ACROSS PIERCE...MADISON AND BOONE
COUNTIES.  ACTIVITY IS NOW DEVELOPING INTO A HEAVY RAINFALL
SITUATION AS 30-40 KT LOW LEVEL JET EXTENDS NWD/NEWD THRU WRN KS
INTO S CENTRAL NE...AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS EXTENDS E-W ACROSS
CENTRAL AND ERN NE.

ANALYSIS OF BOTH THE RUC AND NAM-KF SOUNDINGS SHOW 3-6KM LAYER LAPSE
RATES OF 7.5 TO 8C/KM AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN .95 AND
1.15 INDICATING SMALL HAIL AND RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR.

..MCCARTHY.. 04/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

41179594 41199664 41249739 41259814 41579837 41899850
42239845 42479828 42649800 42719708 42559626 42059560
41649551 

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