[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 070336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070336 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-070430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0513
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1036 PM CDT WED APR 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL/FL PANHANDLE/SWRN GA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 136...

VALID 070336Z - 070430Z

WW 136 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 04Z...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT OVERNIGHT  TRAINING STORMS LOCATED FROM SW-NE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE INTO SERN AL/FAR SWRN GA WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES WITH THE STRONGER
ACTIVITY RANGING FROM 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.

03Z SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO TRAIN NEWD ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHICH EXTENDED FROM OVER THE NRN GULF...OFF THE WRN FL PANHANDLE
COAST...TO FAR SERN AL /HOUSTON COUNTY/ AND THEN NNEWD INTO WRN GA. 
00Z RUC SHOWED A ZONE OF LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ORIENTED PARALLEL TO
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH THIS CONFLUENCE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY OVERNIGHT.  MOISTURE ADVECTION ALONG THESE
BOUNDARIES COMBINED WITH CONTINUED LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN THE EXIT
REGION OF A 60 KT WLY MID LEVEL JET NWRN GULF WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE NRN GULF AND THE FL
PANHANDLE.

..PETERS.. 04/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31668624 31628470 29858497 29868643 

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