[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 191058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191054 
AZZ000-191200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2248
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 AM CDT SUN SEP 19 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 837...

VALID 191054Z - 191200Z

...SEVERE THREAT IS SHIFTING EAST ACROSS WW...

LEADING EDGE OF MOST INTENSE CONVECTION HAS SHIFTED INTO CNTRL
PORTIONS OF WW AND HAS EVOLVED INTO A LINEAR MCS.  THIS ACTIVITY
APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS IT
PROGRESSES INTO ERN PORTIONS OF WW OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

WHILE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING
DOWNSTREAM AHEAD OF THIS CONVECTION THIS ACTIVITY MAY ACTUALLY
LESSEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE WINDS REACHING THE SFC AS
INSTABILITY IS OVERTURNED AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE.

..DARROW.. 09/19/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

33951375 35521264 35161203 33491321 

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