[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 241855
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241855 
TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-OHZ000-242030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2465
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CST WED NOV 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS WRN/MID TN...WRN KY...SWRN
INDIANA...EXTREME SWRN IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 902...

VALID 241855Z - 242030Z

NEW WW LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS SRN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KY...POSSIBLY
SWRN OH.  MEANWHILE...TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY IN ARC
EXTENDING FROM LOWER WABASH RIVER VALLEY OF IL/INDIANA TO NEAR HOP
THEN SSWWD TO JUST S AND E OF MKL.  STRONGEST LOW LEVEL FORCING AND
LARGEST HODOGRAPHS WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR INVOF TRACK OF DEEP SFC
LOW -- NOW ANALYZED NNW EVV AND FCST TO TRACK NEWD JUST N OF OH
RIVER...ALONG NWD-MOVING WARM FRONT.  AIR MASS CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE ALONG AND S OF WARM FRONT WITH MLCAPES NOW IN 500-800
J/KG RANGE OVER WRN PORTIONS TN/KY.  INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION WITH 0-1 KM SRH 250-500 J/KG...AND 60-90
KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR...BASED ON MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS.

..EDWARDS.. 11/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...HUN...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...MRX...JKL...ILN...

35068613 35068828 38628889 38628670 

38838692 39418582 39508460 39378385 39098363 38438361
37188407 36348480 36068611 36058628 

WWWW