[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 240302
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240302 COR
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-240500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2448
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0902 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/NRN AL INTO MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 888...

VALID 240302Z - 240500Z

CORRECTED FOR  AREA IN HEADER

NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

LARGE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD WITH
DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW REGIME...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO
THE LOWER OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS.  MORE VIGOROUS EMBEDDED STORMS...
NOW CENTERED AROUND TUPELO...ARE OCCURRING WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION IS ENHANCED NEAR SURFACE WARM FRONT..WHICH EXTENDS
EASTWARD THROUGH BIRMINGHAM INTO AREAS SOUTH OF ATLANTA.  THIS
ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA INTO
MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME...AND SHOULD
GENERALLY REMAIN BASED JUST TO COOL SIDE OF BOUNDARY...ABOVE FRONTAL
INVERSION.  THIS MAY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT...BUT SOME HAIL/
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.  HOWEVER...NEAR IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
FRONT...THERE WILL BE A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..KERR.. 11/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

34998890 35878887 36438766 36528638 35908535 35138524
34718547 33998583 33718708 33888806