[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 311157
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311156 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-311400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1015
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CDT MON MAY 31 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA...NC PIEDMONT...NRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 351...

VALID 311156Z - 311400Z

OVERALL DOWNWARD TREND HAS BEEN NOTED IN RADAR REFLECTIVITY AND VIL
VALUES AS EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE HAS MOVED EAST OF THE APPALACHIAN
FOOTHILLS THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DEPICT A STRONG OUTFLOW
BEHIND THE LINE WITH 30-40KT DIVERGENT WINDS AND A MESOHIGH LOCATED
ACROSS WRN NC. LINE IS BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND STRONGER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS LIKELY WITH
TIME AS CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW INTERCEPTS GREATER BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. WITH DIURNAL MINIMUM IN
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY NOW BEING REALIZED ACROSS THE REGION...SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL MAY REMAIN LIMITED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE A
RESURGENCE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY DEVELOPS WITHIN LEE TROUGH AND
ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

..CARBIN.. 05/31/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

34418037 34368236 35438125 36498036 37327991 37297829 

WWWW