[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 310627
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310627 
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-310830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 AM CDT MON MAY 31 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA/MS

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...TORNADO WATCH 346...347...

VALID 310627Z - 310830Z

LINE OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS BECOME ALIGNED WITH LARGE SCALE DEEP
LAYER WSWLY FLOW ACROSS NRN LA AND MS. COLD FRONT WAS DRIFTING SEWD
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX BEHIND THE PREFRONTAL STORMS AND SHOULD MAINTAIN
CONVERGENCE AND ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION. APPARENT LINE INTERSECTION
WITH BOWING STORMS OVER HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN NWRN MS MAY BE THE
LOCATION OF MOST ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND SHORT-TERM
WIND/TORNADO POTENTIAL. STRONG/DAMAGING WIND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS
NCNTRL MS COUNTIES OF HOLMES...ATTALA...WINSTON...
KEMPER...AND NOXUBEE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR APPEARS TO BE LAGGING THE
CONVECTIVE LINE AND STORM CHARACTER MAY TRANSITION TO MULTICELLULAR
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN LA. AIRMASS FEEDING THE STORMS REMAINS VERY
UNSTABLE AND MOIST AND THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE...LLJ/LIFT INTO THE
TRAILING LINE SHOULD SUPPORT BACKBUILDING AND TRAINING THROUGH THE
MORNING WITH ATTENDANT THREAT OF FLOODING.

..CARBIN.. 05/31/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...SHV...

32159089 31969398 32349379 33169107 33558908 33598823 

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