[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Mon May 31 01:57:13 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 310156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310155 
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-310300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0855 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA/SWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 310155Z - 310300Z

WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE MAIN
CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS E CNTRL TX/AR. EVENING SOUNDING FROM LAKE
CHARLES SHOWS AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FOR STORMS...WITH MLCAPE
VALUES NEAR 3500-4000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30-35 KT IS
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS FOCUSED
NE ACROSS NRN LA...SO THESE INITIAL STORMS MAY INTENSIFY AS THEY
INTERACT WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET...AND IF THEY DO...A WW MAY BE
NECESSARY LATER TONIGHT.

..TAYLOR.. 05/31/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

31019326 31369367 31809401 32629393 32969362 33009156
32939017 31118995 31049221 

WWWW





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