[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 270155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270154 
OKZ000-TXZ000-270300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0929
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0854 PM CDT WED MAY 26 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/NWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 297...

VALID 270154Z - 270300Z

SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF WW 297 EXPIRATION TIME
APPEARS TO BE CONFINED TO PORTIONS OF NWRN TX TO THE NORTH OF THE
ABI AREA. OVERALL INCREASING CINH EAST OF WW 297 SHOULD PRECLUDE THE
NEED FOR ANOTHER WW OVER NCENTRAL TX.


ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RETREATING DRYLINE IS POSSIBLE
FARTHER NW IN THE VICINITY OF CDS WHERE STRONG CONVERGENCE WILL BE 
MAINTAINED. HOWEVER OVERALL SEVERE THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT
AT THIS TIME TO WARRANT A REPLACEMENT WATCH BEYOND 03Z. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RETREATING DRYLINE IN THE VICINITY MAF APPEARS
LESS LIKELY GIVEN WAVE CLOUDS NOTED ON VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATIVE OF LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE.

..CROSBIE.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

32150087 33880050 34750039 35419925 33139923 

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