[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262337 
OKZ000-270100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0924
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 PM CDT WED MAY 26 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CENTRAL OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 298...302...

VALID 262337Z - 270100Z

CONTINUE WW 298 AND WW 302 ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL OK. 

POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELL OVER SRN CANADIAN COUNTY WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE WRN/SRN PORTION OF THE OKC METRO AREA DURING THE NEXT
HOUR. STORM MOTION HAS TURNED SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE RIGHT...WITH
ESTIMATED MOTION BASED ON PAST FEW VOLUME SCANS 280/30 KT. THIS
TRACK YIELDS A 0-1KM SRH OF 175 M2/S2 BASED ON CURRENT TLX VAD WIND
PROFILE. SURFACE DEWPOINTS AROUND 70F ARE CONTRIBUTING TO LOW LCL
HEIGHTS. PROVIDED STORM UPDRAFT CAN REMAIN SURFACE BASED DESPITE
INHIBITION LAYER...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS
STORM GIVEN VERY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. VERY LARGE HAIL IN
EXCESS OF 2" IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

ELSEWHERE...RAPID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED ACROSS
GARFIELD COUNTY OK. STORM SPLITS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES WITH THE RIGHT MOVING STORM ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..BANACOS.. 05/26/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

36919856 36969542 35569631 34899680 34719744 34419850
34619975 

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