[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242326
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242325 
MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-250100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0877
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VT...CT...MA...RI...ERN NY/PA...NRN NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 277...280...

VALID 242325Z - 250100Z

STRONG TO OCCASIONAL SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TRACKING EWD ACROSS PARTS
OF ERN NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN
DECREASING IN INTENSITY AS IT CROSSES INTO STABLE/COOL AIRMASS ON
THE ERN SIDE OF THE WARM FRONT ALIGNED FROM NEAR THE CT RIVER OVER
NRN MA TO NEAR CT/RI BORDER. CURRENTLY...ONE SUPERCELL OVER
BENNINGTON COUNTY VT APPEARS TO BE VERY NEAR WARM FRONT/SFC LOW
INTERSECTION...OR PERHAPS INITIATED ON THIS INTERSECTION AND HAS NOW
MOVED EAST. THIS CELL WILL LIKELY DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES
TOWARD THE CT RIVER VALLEY NEXT HOUR.

ANOTHER STRONG CELL HAS RECENTLY WEST OF WASHINGTON COUNTY NY...AND
ANOTHER STORM WITH A SMALL SCALE BOW WAS NOTED OVER SCHOHARIE COUNTY
NY. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS WITHIN MOIST UNSTABLE AIR AND COULD
PRODUCE  DAMAGING WINDS.

ISOLD CELLS OVER MA APPEAR TO DEVELOPING ABOVE SURFACE STABLE LAYER
BUT SHOULD STILL PRODUCE HAIL FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE REGION AFTER CURRENT
WATCHES EXPIRE.

..CARBIN.. 05/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...

41307076 41287351 41307385 39937469 39987776 44027574
44017229 42817294 42777087 

WWWW