[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221727
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221726 
PAZ000-NYZ000-OHZ000-221900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0819
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT SAT MAY 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OH...NRN PA...UPSTATE NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221726Z - 221900Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY SOON EVOLVE OFF THE LAKE BREEZE FROM
NERN OH INTO NWRN PA.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED...

RAPID HEATING ALONG LAKE BREEZE HAS INITIATED CONVECTION OVER NERN
OH AND NWRN PA.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY WITHIN
BROAD WARM ADVECTION ZONE BENEATH WSWLY LLJ.  SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ADVECTION SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS NRN PA INTO
WRN NY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXISTS
FOR STORM ROTATION/SUPERCELLS. ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE.

..DARROW.. 05/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

41708114 42577862 42127719 41137797 41048091 

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