[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 180219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180219 
OKZ000-TXZ000-180245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0919 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN OK INCLUDING OK PANHANDLE/ERN TX
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 491...

VALID 180219Z - 180245Z

NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE ERN TX PANHANDLE AND
WRN OK INCLUDING THE OK PANHANDLE.

LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MERGE ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES INTO NWRN TX/LOW ROLLING HILLS OF WEST CENTRAL TX...WITH
A GRADUAL EWD MOVEMENT OF THE ENTIRE MCS.  AMA RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWS
A DEVELOPING BOW ECHO ACROSS ROBERTS COUNTY TX...WITH LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS/OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATING A STRONG COLD POOL WITH THIS
BOW.  MODERATE INSTABILITY DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE
INTO WRN OK AND THE COLD POOL SHOULD MAINTAIN THE EWD MOVEMENT OF
THIS BOW ECHO INTO WRN OK BY 03Z.  30 KT SSELY LLJ ACROSS WRN TX
WILL MAINTAIN ONGOING MCS ACROSS THIS REGION WITH CAPE/SHEAR VALUES
SUPPORTING ORGANIZED STORMS WITH HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.  DEVELOPING
COLD POOL OVER THE TX PANHANDLE WILL FURTHER ENHANCE DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL INTO WRN OK.

..PETERS.. 06/18/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

35860104 36880103 36979837 35389795 34149808 34119853
33710024 33710198 34910200 

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