[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172124
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172124 
TXZ000-NMZ000-172330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1318
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0424 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 172124Z - 172330Z

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

STORMS FORMING ON HIGH TERRAIN IN SW TX WHERE IT HAS BECOME VERY
WARM WHILE MAINTAINING 50S F DEWPOINTS IN WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER.
 LARGE INSTABILITY EXISTS AND MAY INCREASE AS MOIST SELY FLOW AND
LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHEN.  MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS WEAK...THUS
HODOGRAPHS FAVOR VERY SLOW MOVING SEVERE PULSE OR MULTICELLS.  STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND STRONG INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SEVERE
HAIL...WHILE LOW RH SUB CLOUD LAYERS AND WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE MICROBURSTS.

..JEWELL.. 06/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EPZ...

30410491 30620498 30910540 31480554 31960438 32460386
32390293 32000215 31350172 29840239 29680270 28960312
29120352 29430414 29670453 

WWWW