[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 112017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112016 
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-112145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1192
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WV AND VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434...

VALID 112016Z - 112145Z

THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING INTO WV WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A WIND
DAMAGE THREAT. ALSO...AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST WITH
ROTATING CELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE. WW 434 WILL BE REPLACED WITH
ANOTHER WW SHORTLY EXTENDING EAST ACROSS VA.

MODERATE INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS KY...WV AND VA
SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT. THE ONGOING CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE
TO BE SUSTAINED BY THE INSTABILITY AS IT MOVES ESEWD. THE ACTIVITY
IS IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 50 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS
NRN VA. THIS IS ENHANCING SHEAR AND LIFT WHICH IN TURN SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG CONVECTION THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WIND
DAMAGE SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT CONSIDERING THE WIND PROFILES
ARE UNIDIRECTIONAL. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO
EXIST WITH CELLS THAT ROTATE IN THE STRONGER INSTABILITY SOUTH OF
THE FRONT.

..BROYLES.. 06/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...RLX...JKL...

37498218 37828242 38238234 38538176 38578065 38347857
38167724 37667592 36827603 36557678 36807911 37228153