[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 092359
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092359 
MTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-100130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1165
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 PM CDT WED JUN 09 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MT/ERN ID

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 418...

VALID 092359Z - 100130Z

...MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS STATIONARY SFC FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR
LANDER WY TO DILLON MT TO PULLMAN WA. MAIN SHEAR/VORTICITY AXIS NOW
OVER ERN OREGON/SRN NV WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL
ROCKIES WITH INCREASING LARGE SCALE LIFT ACROSS ID/MT. THE STEEPEST
LAPSE RATES ARE ACROSS S CNTRL ID WHERE SFC INSOLATION HAS BEEN THE
GREATEST. ANY SFC BASED STORMS THAT COULD INITIATE IN THIS AREA MAY
HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE GIVEN 40-50 DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS. HOWEVER...MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE FROM MARGINALLY
LARGE HAIL WITH VERY LOW WBZ LEVELS AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AOA
50-60 KT.

..TAYLOR.. 06/09/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...

46921505 41981531 42011153 46961095 

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