[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 020635
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020634 
LAZ000-TXZ000-020830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1048
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 AM CDT WED JUN 02 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EAST TX AND LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 374...375...

VALID 020634Z - 020830Z

SEVERE BOW ECHO MOVING ESEWD ABOUT 50KT SHOULD CONTINUE TO CROSS
MUCH OF NRN AND CNTRL LA THROUGH 08Z/3AM CDT. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY
DEVELOP ATOP MCS COLD POOL ACROSS TX BUT THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLD.

MATURE LINEAR MCS WITH LEADING LINE/TRAILING STRATIFORM FORMATION
AND WELL DEVELOPED MESOHIGH EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WINDS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PARISHES
OF NRN LA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. FAVORABLE MESOSCALE
ENVIRONMENT INCLUDES ABUNDANT DOWNSTREAM MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AS
WELL AS 40-50KT REAR INFLOW JET AND STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE RISES IN
THE WAKE OF THE LINE. GIVEN THESE INGREDIENTS...IT APPEARS THAT
SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL MAY EXTEND SEWD OF TSTM WATCH 375 AND A NEW
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PARTS OF SERN LA BEFORE 09Z/4AM CDT.

..CARBIN.. 06/02/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

30049193 30579385 31099804 33279807 32729383 32159190 

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