[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012204 
TXZ000-OKZ000-012330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1042
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 PM CDT TUE JUN 01 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX/SE OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012204Z - 012330Z

TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS ERN TX AND POSSIBLY SRN
OK EARLY THIS EVENING. WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON.

SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING SEWD ACROSS SRN OK/NRN TX WILL SPREAD
FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ACROSS ERN TX/SRN OK EARLY THIS
EVENING. AS SUCH...SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/PROPAGATE
EWD INTO STRONG INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN TX -- ALONG
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY -- CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF
4000 J/KG AND MINIMAL CINH. DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40-50 KTS WILL
SUPPORT THREAT OF SUPERCELLS...WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS/ISOLATED TORNADOES.

SUPPORTED BY INCREASING S/SW LOW LEVEL JET THIS EVENING...TSTMS MAY
CONGEAL AND/OR EXPAND NEWD ACROSS NE TX/SE OK.

..GUYER.. 06/01/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...

33909708 34219562 33219504 31119540 30809657 31139732 

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