[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011142 
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-011345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1033
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 AM CDT TUE JUN 01 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...LWR MS VLY/NRN GULF COAST

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 011142Z - 011345Z

BANDS OF STRONG TSTMS CONTINUE THIS MORNING FROM NRN LA...AND INLAND
FROM THE NRN GULF COAST. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS.

NRN LA MCS APPEARS TO BE FWD PROPAGATING AT THIS TIME AND CONTINUES
TO MOVE ALONG NRN EDGE OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY GRADIENT. A WEAK
SHORT WAVE TROUGH OR MCV APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COMPLEX.
ADDITIONAL STORMS...LIKELY ELEVATED...HAVE  PERSISTED OVER THE LAST
FEW HOURS TO THE NORTH OF GULF COAST WARM FRONT FROM SRN MS ACROSS
SRN AL...THE WRN FL PNHDL...AND SRN GA. MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION
APPEARS TO BE MULTICELLULAR AS STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS
SITUATED TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
WITHIN A ZONE OF STRONG MOISTURE FLUX AND LIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT. ASCENT AND SHEAR MAY STRENGTHEN AS MCV MOVES EAST THIS
MORNING AND...COUPLED WITH DIURNAL HEATING...RESULT IN GRADUAL STORM
INTENSIFICATION.

..CARBIN.. 06/01/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

32668324 31898297 30958258 31058660 30838894 30409339
30899558 31429562 32659391 33229126 

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