[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150439
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150438 
ALZ000-MSZ000-150615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1681
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 150438Z - 150615Z

DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE N
BETWEEN 05-06Z. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW
ISSUANCE.

SHORT LINE SEGMENT FROM LAFAYETTE COUNTY ESEWD INTO LEE COUNTY IN
NRN MS HAS ACCELERATED SSEWD AT 25-30KTS OVER THE PAST HOUR WITH
EXTRAPOLATION PLACING LEADING EDGE OF HIGHER REFLECTIVITIES TO SRN
EDGE OF WW637 BY 0530Z. THOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS INCREASED
TO OVER 200 J/KG PER OBJECTIVE FIELDS...COMBINATION OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY...30-35KTS OF NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP SHEAR AND
STRENGTHENING COLD POOL MAY MAINTAIN CONVECTIVE LINE AND INHERENT
WIND THREAT S OF PRESENT WW AREA.

CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED IF IT
APPEARS THAT AN ORGANIZED WIND THREAT WILL DEVELOP S OF WW637.

..MEAD.. 07/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...

34099061 33588818 32588838 33169094 

WWWW