[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142036 
AZZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-142200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1669
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NW AZ...SE NV

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 142036Z - 142200Z

SOME PULSING STRONG STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN NW AZ OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS.  MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS BEEN FLOWING INTO THE AREA
WITH DEWPOINTS RAPIDLY INCREASING INTO THE 60S F AT LAS...AND MID
50S TO LOW 60S NOTED IN NW AZ. MLCAPE VALUES IN THE REGION ARE
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND STORMS THAT INITIATE ALONG TERRAIN
FEATURES WILL BECOME STRONG IN THIS ENVIRONMENT.  GIVEN LARGE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  ADDITIONALLY...STEEP LAPSE RATES
AS INDICATED ON 18Z FGZ SOUNDING SUGGEST A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL
THREAT.

..LEVIT.. 07/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGZ...VEF...

35321501 35121353 34891240 35061106 35931121 36821158
36961244 36981411 37311494 36311635