[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 131910
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131910 
MIZ000-WIZ000-132115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1646
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN WI AND U.P. OF MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 620...

VALID 131910Z - 132115Z

COLD FRONT NOW ENTERING WRN EDGE OF WW 620 WITH VERY FAVORABLE LARGE
SCALE SUPPORT FOR STRONG ASCENT ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION.
NUMEROUS CELLULAR STORMS ARE INCREASINGLY RAPIDLY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. AN AXIS OF GREATER PREFRONTAL INSTABILITY WAS SITUATED FROM
GRB AREA NNEWD INTO THE U.P. OF MI. ENVIRONMENT WITHIN THIS AXIS
WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. TORNADO
POTENTIAL MAY BE ENHANCED AS CELLS APPROACH THE WRN SHORE OF GREEN
BAY WHERE WEAK LOW LEVEL SELY FLOW WAS RESULTING IN GREATER 0-1KM
SRH IN THE 100-150 M2/S2 RANGE.

..CARBIN.. 07/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...ARX...

44098587 44079028 46428764 46428300 

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