[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130836
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130835 
WIZ000-MNZ000-130930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1640
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 AM CDT TUE JUL 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MN...NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 616...618...

VALID 130835Z - 130930Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 616 WILL EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER WCNTRL MN WITHIN
SUSTAINED WARM ADVECTION ZONE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SERN QUARTER OF THE WW...BUT NOT BEFORE THE WATCH EXPIRES.  EVEN
SO...MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED AT OR BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. 
UNLESS THIS CONVECTION INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY WW WILL NOT BE
REISSUED.

A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF CONVECTION HAS ALSO OCCURRED OVER NERN
MN...JUST SOUTH OF THE DLH AREA.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE TO
MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES EWD INTO A PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT.

..DARROW.. 07/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

44949595 46199522 46339128 45209118 44349426 

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