[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102053 
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-102300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY/NERN CO AND THE NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102053Z - 102300Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING
WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF NERN CO/SERN WY OVER THE
NEXT HOUR. A WW MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR FOR NRN PORTIONS OF
THE AREA WHERE SHEAR WILL BE STRONGER.

CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SERN WY AND
NCENTRAL CO WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED LOW
LEVEL INFLOW AND INSTABILITY OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WEST OF A LEE
TROUGH OVER FAR SERN WY AND OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF NERN CO.
STRONGER THAN MODEL FORECAST MID LEVEL FLOW SAMPLED BY THE MDW WITH
35-40 KTS AT 6 KM WILL AID DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
OVER SERN WY AND THE NEB PANHANDLE GIVEN MODERATE INSTABILITY OF
1000-1500 J/KG. FARTHER SOUTH...DECREASED MID LEVEL FLOW SAMPLED BY
THE PLATTEVILLE PROFILER WILL LIMIT OVERALL UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION
WITH CONVECTION IN THIS AREA...BUT ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL IS
STILL ANTICIPATED OVER NERN CO THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

..CROSBIE.. 07/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...

39780469 40410494 41320483 42090453 42940443 42970325
42980276 42870259 41240276 39820327 

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