[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060414
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060414 
INZ000-ILZ000-060545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1535
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL/WRN IN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 060414Z - 060545Z

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY FROM CENTRAL IL RADAR SHOWS OUTFLOW IS
BEGINNING TO OUTRUN THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE. HOWEVER...DEVELOPING
BOW ECHO ACROSS WOODWARD COUNTY WILL POSE A THREAT FOR MAINLY
DAMAGING WINDS...AND THIS THREAT POSSIBLY EXTENDS AS FAR EAST AS
MCLEAN/LIVINGSTON COUNTIES. GUSTS UP TO 38 KT HAVE BEEN REPORTED AS
THE STORMS WENT THROUGH PIA...AS WELL AS A REPORT OF A TORNADO IN
WOODWARD COUNTY. 

WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM CWI/PNT/IKK...AND DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY ARE IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S WITH FAVORABLY LOW LCL
HEIGHTS. IN ADDITION...LATEST VAD WIND DATA FROM CENTRAL IL INDICATE
VEERING PROFILE WITH HEIGHT...WITH NEARLY 30 KT LOW LEVEL SHEAR. NRN
EXTENT OF LINE IS PROBABLY BECOMING MORE ELEVATED AS IT MOVES TOWARD
THE WRN SUBURBS OF CHICAGO. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS TO HOW FAR/LONG
STORMS SOUTH OF THE FRONT WILL LAST DUE TO AMOUNT OF INHIBITION. IF
STORMS CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN THEMSELVES...A WW MAY NEED TO BE
CONSIDERED DOWNSTREAM.

..TAYLOR.. 07/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

39628826 39718975 40319039 41138937 41098760 40718697
39628716 

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