[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052252 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-060015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1527
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NEB...NWRN KS...ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 563...

VALID 052252Z - 060015Z

UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE TO FORCE CLUSTER OF STORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.  THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOW-END SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO
MOSTLY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT LATER THIS EVENING.

SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES LARGE AREA OF PRESSURE RISES BEHIND
OUTFLOW ENHANCED COLD FRONT...WITH LARGE VALUES OF DCAPE OVER 1300
J/KG.  GIVEN STRONG FORCING...STORMS WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A
SEVERE MCS WHICH WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

..JEWELL.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

39830387 42050251 41849983 40819922 39309964 38660167
38880333 

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