[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050012 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-050215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1509
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0712 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SW KS...WRN OK...TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 554...

VALID 050012Z - 050215Z

THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL CONTINUES ACROSS WW.

MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO COOL WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH OVER NM.  AREA VWPS AND PROFILERS INDICATE BACKING 500 MB
WINDS NOW INTO WRN TX PANHANDLE...WITH SPEEDS OF 40 KTS NEAR
TUCUMCARI.  WIND PROFILES FROM ERN NM...ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE INTO
NWRN OK AND SWRN KS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLULAR STORM STRUCTURE.


STORM MODE IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO MORE OF AN MCS WITH
SIGNIFICANT WIND POTENTIAL LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AS
CONVECTION OVER ERN CO / WRN KS MERGES WITH SW KS CONVECTION.

..JEWELL.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...

34839935 34830162 39090016 39139773 

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