[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 292215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292213 
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-292345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CDT SUN AUG 29 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NY AND EXTREME NE PA INTO VT/NH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 795...

VALID 292213Z - 292345Z

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT WW 795 WILL NOT NEED TO BE REPLACED.
HOWEVER WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
LOCALLY...NAMELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NY INTO VT/NH.

LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PROGRESSIVELY DIMINISHING
SEVERE THREAT REMAINDER OF EARLY EVENING...HOWEVER POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. DOWNSTREAM OF CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS CENTRAL NY...AIRMASS
REMAINS CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH BACKGROUND WIND
PROFILES REMAINING FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE.

..GUYER.. 08/29/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...

42007896 44647751 44617058 43997098 43087371 42517500
42047557 

WWWW