[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172317
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172316 
NEZ000-SDZ000-180115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2029
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0616 PM CDT TUE AUG 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W NE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 172316Z - 180115Z

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS W NEBRASKA.  A WW MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE HOUR OR
TWO.

A CLUSTER OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN ONGOING FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL HOURS OVER SE WY AND NE PANHANDLE...AND THESE STORMS
ARE NOW PROPAGATING EASTWARD ACROSS W NE.  THESE STORMS ARE FORMING
IN AN AREA OF ENHANCED LIFT AHEAD OF A SFC LOW LOCATED OVER SE
WY...AND WILL BE MOVING AND DEVELOPING INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND SFC-6KM SHEAR
VALUES AROUND 30-40 KTS...SUGGESTING STORM CLUSTER COULD BECOME MORE
ORGANIZED WITH TIME AS IT MOVES INTO THE REGION.  THEREFORE...AS THE
EVENING PROGRESSES...DEVELOPMENT OF A MCS IS POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

..LEVIT.. 08/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

42990332 42450361 41660361 41190348 40960151 41099971
42669941 43030128 

WWWW