[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 112328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112327 
COZ000-NMZ000-120130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1967
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO/ERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 740...741...

VALID 112327Z - 120130Z

BOUNDARY LAYER DID NOT HEAT SIGNIFICANTLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN
CO AND STRONGER MOUNTAIN TSTMS HAVE NOT MAINTAINED INTENSITY AS THEY
APPROACHED THE CAPPED ENVIRONMENT ON THE HIGH PLAINS.  STRONGEST
HEATING OCCURRED FROM THE RATON MESA SWD INTO ERN/CNTRL NM WHERE
SEVERAL ONGOING TSTMS ARE LOCATED.  DESPITE STRONGER HEATING...THE
NM PLAINS ARE ALSO CAPPED AND IT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO THE MOUNTAINS THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING.  VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 6 KM IS SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZED TSTMS WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT.

..RACY.. 08/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

33490578 35770580 37300530 40090532 39070333 35250359
33650364 

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