[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110215 
OKZ000-KSZ000-110315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1951
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...PART OF SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 110215Z - 110315Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED SOON ACROSS THIS REGION.

CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE IN NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA.  ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING INVOF INTERSECTION OF
SURFACE COLD FRONT AND OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER STORMS. 
HOWEVER...REGION REMAINS WITHIN DEEP CONVERGENCE NEAR H85 WARM FRONT
WITH H85 WINDS INCREASING AND BECOMING MORE SLY THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING ACROSS OK.  GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES AND
MODERATE SHEAR...ACTIVITY MAY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH PRIMARY
THREAT OF LARGE HAIL INITIALLY.  IN ADDITION...EVENTUAL ARRIVAL OF
DEVELOPING MCS NOW OVER ERN CO MAY PRODUCE A THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS LATER TONIGHT.

..EVANS.. 08/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

35369793 36009989 37889958 37299773 36689580 34809597 

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