[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040338 
ILZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-040445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1872
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1038 PM CDT TUE AUG 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO AND WEST CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 040338Z - 040445Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY FOR PORTIONS OF NRN
MO AND WRN IL SOUTH OF WW 703.

STORMS IN SRN IA/EXTREME SERN NEB HAVE ORGANIZED INTO AN E-W LINE
DURING THE PAST HOUR. THOUGH LATEST RUC/ETA FIELDS SUGGESTS 
STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD MORE EWD THAN SWD.
HOWEVER...35-40 KT LOW LEVEL JET CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NERN KS INTO
NRN MO AND MAY RESULT IN STORMS TO FORWARD PROPAGATE SEWD. AIR MASS
REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE TO SUPPORT A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WELL
INTO THE NIGHT. IF IT APPEARS STORMS WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING SEWD...
THEN WW LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

..IMY.. 08/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

38599297 38789489 39489524 39959490 40068998 38759009
38629122