[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040216 
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-040315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1870
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0916 PM CDT TUE AUG 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NE/IA/NW IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 698...700...

VALID 040216Z - 040315Z

...TORNADO WATCHES 698 AND 700 WILL NEED TO BE REPLACED 
BEFORE 03Z...

STORMS ACROSS CNTRL/SW IA ARE EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A BOW
ECHO AND TRACK ACROSS SERN IA/EXTREME NRN MO/WRN IL SOUTH OF NRN IL
SYSTEM. SEE MCD 1869 FOR MORE INFORMATION.  

IN ADDITION TO THE BOW ECHO THREAT...NEW STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS
STANLEY AND CUMING COUNTIES IN NE MAY SUGGEST MORE STORMS WILL FORM
OVERNIGHT. A 35-45 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL FOCUS ACROSS SRN IA/NRN
MO...AND SO STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE ELEVATED IN WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME. THESE STORMS MAY HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. 


SINCE BOTH WATCHES EXPIRE AT 03Z...A REPLACEMENT WATCH WILL BE
NECESSARY.

..TAYLOR.. 08/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...

40589414 40579657 40599780 42049777 42009578 42029419
41449415 

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